E. M. Igumnova, I. E. Timchenko
Marine Hydrophysical Institute of RAS, Sevastopol, Russia
Abstract
The method of adaptive balance of causes is applied to develop a model for managing the balance of consumption and reproduction of coastal zone marine resources. An adaptive model of the ecological and economic system has been built, which links the economic indicators of the use of renewable resources with the balance of their consumption and reproduction rates. A method is proposed for estimating the coefficients of the model from the normalized ratios of the mean values of the simulated processes. The management of resource consumption is based on the use of a variety of management agents controlling the ecological state of the marine environment and imposing economic sanctions on the production for its marine pollution wastes. An example of an ecological-economic control system for the marine bioresource concentration management is given. Scenarios of processes in this system without taking into account and taking into account the influence of marine environment dynamics have been constructed. It is shown that the biodiversity index and the marine bioresource capacity agent can be effectively used for the integral control over the volumes of bioresource consumption and reproduction.
Keywords
method of adaptive balance of causes, conservation of material balances, normalized coefficients of causes, adaptive control model, influence of marine environment dynamics
DOI
10.22449/2413-5577-2018-1-13-22